DT-Transformer: A Foundation Model for Disease Trajectory Prediction on a Real-world Health System

Accurate disease trajectory prediction is critical for early intervention, resource allocation, and improving long-term outcomes. While electronic health records (EHRs) provide a rich longitudinal view of patient health in clinical environments, models trained on curated research cohorts may not reflect routine deployment settings, and those trained on single-hospital datasets capture only fragments of each patient's trajectory. This highlights the importance of leveraging large, multi-hospital health systems for training and validation to better reflect real-world clinical complexity. In this work, we develop DT-Transformer, a foundation model trained on 57.1M structured EHR entries over 1.7M patients from Mass General Brigham (MGB), spanning 11 hospitals and a broad network of outpatient clinics. DT-Transformer achieves strong discrimination in both held-out and prospective validation settings. Next-event prediction achieves a median age- and sex-stratified AUC of 0.871 across 896 disease categories, with all categories exceeding AUC 0.5. These results support health system-scale training as a path toward foundation models suited to real-world clinical forecasting.

Exploitation of Hidden Context in Dynamic Movement Forecasting: A Neural Network Journey from Recurrent to Graph Neural Networks and General Purpose Transformers

Forecasting within signal processing pipelines is crucial for mitigating delays, particularly in predicting the dynamic movements of objects such as NBA players. This task poses significant challenges due to the inherently interactive and unpredictable nature of sports, where abrupt changes in velocity and direction are prevalent. Traditional approaches, including (S)ARIMA(X), Kalman filters (KF), and Particle filters (PF), often struggle to model the non-linear dynamics present in such scenarios. Machine learning (ML) methods, such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, graph neural networks (GNNs), and Transformers, offer greater flexibility and accuracy but frequently fail to explicitly capture the interplay between temporal dependencies and contextual interactions, which are critical in chaotic sports environments. In this paper, we evaluate these models and assess their strengths and weaknesses. Experimental results reveal key performance trade-offs across input history length, generalizability, and the ability to incorporate contextual information. ML-based methods demonstrated substantial improvements over linear models across forecast horizons of up to 2s. Among the tested architectures, our hybrid LSTM augmented with contextual information achieved the lowest final displacement error (FDE) of 1.51m, outperforming temporal convolutional neural network (TCNN), graph attention network (GAT), and Transformers, while also requiring less data and training time compared to GAT and Transformers. Our findings indicate that no single architecture excels across all metrics, emphasizing the need for task-specific considerations in trajectory prediction for fast-paced, dynamic environments such as NBA gameplay.

FU-MPC: Frontier- and Uncertainty-Aware Model Predictive Control for Efficient and Accurate UAV Exploration with Motorized LiDAR

Efficient UAV exploration in unknown environments requires rapid coverage expansion while maintaining accurate and reliable localization, since safe navigation in complex scenes depends on consistent mapping and pose estimation. However, for conventional LiDAR-equipped UAVs, the observable region is tightly coupled with the UAV pose and motion. Expanding coverage often requires additional translational or rotational maneuvers, which can reduce exploration efficiency and increase the risk of localization degradation in geometrically challenging environments. Motorized rotating LiDARs provide a promising solution by actively adjusting the sensor viewing direction without changing the UAV motion, thereby introducing an additional sensing degree of freedom. Nevertheless, existing exploration systems rarely exploit this scanning freedom as an explicit decision variable linked to both exploration progress and localization quality. To address this gap, we develop a UAV platform equipped with an independently actuated rotating LiDAR and propose a hierarchical exploration framework. The global planner organizes frontiers into representative viewpoints and sequences them using topology-aware transition costs. Built upon this planner, FU-MPC serves as a local receding-horizon scan controller that optimizes LiDAR rotation along the predicted flight trajectory. The controller jointly considers frontier-aware exploration utility and direction-dependent localization uncertainty, while lightweight surrogate evaluation enables real-time onboard execution. Experiments in complex environments demonstrate that the proposed system improves exploration efficiency while maintaining robust localization performance compared with fixed-pattern scanning and uncertainty-only baselines. The project page can be found at https://kafeiyin00.github.io/FU-MPC/.

CLOVER: Closed-Loop Value Estimation \& Ranking for End-to-End Autonomous Driving Planning

End-to-end autonomous driving planners are commonly trained by imitating a single logged trajectory, yet evaluated by rule-based planning metrics that measure safety, feasibility, progress, and comfort. This creates a training--evaluation mismatch: trajectories close to the logged path may violate planning rules, while alternatives farther from the demonstration can remain valid and high-scoring. The mismatch is especially limiting for proposal-selection planners, whose performance depends on candidate-set coverage and scorer ranking quality. We propose CLOVER, a Closed-LOop Value Estimation and Ranking framework for end-to-end autonomous driving planning. CLOVER follows a lightweight generator--scorer formulation: a generator produces diverse candidate trajectories, and a scorer predicts planning-metric sub-scores to rank them at inference time. To expand proposal support beyond single-trajectory imitation, CLOVER constructs evaluator-filtered pseudo-expert trajectories and trains the generator with set-level coverage supervision. It then performs conservative closed-loop self-distillation: the scorer is fitted to true evaluator sub-scores on generated proposals, while the generator is refined toward teacher-selected top-$k$ and vector-Pareto targets with stability regularization. We analyze when an imperfect scorer can improve the generator, showing that scorer-mediated refinement is reliable when scorer-selected targets are enriched under the true evaluator and updates remain conservative. On NAVSIM, CLOVER achieves 94.5 PDMS and 90.4 EPDMS, establishing a new state of the art. On the more challenging NavHard split, it obtains 48.3 EPDMS, matching the strongest reported result. On supplementary nuScenes open-loop evaluation, CLOVER achieves the lowest L2 error and collision rate among compared methods. Code data will be released at https://github.com/WilliamXuanYu/CLOVER.

Watch your neighbors: Training statistically accurate chaotic systems with local phase space information

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a good surrogate model for chaotic dynamics is. Prior work has largely focused either on reproducing the Jacobian of the underlying dynamics, which governs local expansion and contraction rates, or on training surrogate models that reproduce the ground-truth dynamics' long-term statistical behavior. In this work, we propose a new framework that aims to bridge these two paradigms by training surrogate dynamics models with accurate Jacobians and long-term statistical properties. Our method constructs a local covering of a chaotic attractor in phase space and analyzes the expansion and contraction of these coverings under the dynamics. The surrogate model is trained by minimizing the maximum mean discrepancy between the pushforward distributions of the coverings under the surrogate and ground-truth dynamics. Experiments show that our method significantly improves Jacobian accuracy while remaining competitive with state-of-the-art statistically accurate dynamics learning methods. Our code is fully available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/neighborwatch.

EponaV2: Driving World Model with Comprehensive Future Reasoning

Data scaling plays a pivotal role in the pursuit of general intelligence. However, the prevailing perception-planning paradigm in autonomous driving relies heavily on expensive manual annotations to supervise trajectory planning, which severely limits its scalability. Conversely, although existing perception-free driving world models achieve impressive driving performance, their real-world reasoning ability for planning is solely built on next frame image forecasting. Due to the lack of enough supervision, these models often struggle with comprehensive scene understanding, resulting in unsatisfactory trajectory planning. In this paper, we propose EponaV2, a novel paradigm of driving world models, which achieves high-quality planning with comprehensive future reasoning. Inspired by how human drivers anticipate 3D geometry and semantics, we train our model to forecast more comprehensive future representations, which can be additionally decoded to future geometry and semantic maps. Extracting the 3D and semantic modalities enables our model to deeply understand the surrounding environment, and the future prediction task significantly enhances the real-world reasoning capabilities of EponaV2, ultimately leading to improved trajectory planning. Moreover, inspired by the training recipe of Large Language Models (LLMs), we introduce a flow matching group relative policy optimization mechanism to further improve planning accuracy. The state-of-the-art (SOTA) performances of EponaV2 among perception-free models on three NAVSIM benchmarks (+1.3PDMS, +5.5EPDMS) demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.

Learning Cross-Coupled and Regime Dependent Dynamics for Aerial Manipulation

Accurate dynamics models are critical for aerial manipulators operating under complex tasks such as payload transport. However, modeling these systems remains fundamentally challenging due to strong quadrotor-manipulator coupling, delayed aerodynamic interactions, and regime-dependent dynamics variations arising from payload changes and manipulator reconfiguration. These effects produce residual dynamics that are simultaneously cross-coupled, history-dependent, and nonstationary, causing both analytical models and purely offline learned models to degrade during deployment. To address these challenges, we propose a structured encoder-decoder framework for adaptive residual dynamics learning in aerial manipulators. The proposed nonlinear latent encoder captures cross-variable coupling and temporal dependencies from state-input histories, while a lightweight linear latent decoder enables online adaptation under regime-dependent nonstationary dynamics. The linear-in-parameter decoder structure permits closed-form Bayesian adaptation together with consistency-driven covariance inflation, enabling rapid and stable adaptation to both transient and slowly varying dynamics changes while remaining compatible with real-time model predictive control (MPC). Experimental results on a real aerial manipulation platform demonstrate improved residual prediction accuracy, faster adaptation under changing operating conditions, and enhanced MPC-based trajectory tracking performance. These results highlight the importance of jointly modeling coupled temporal dynamics and deployment-time nonstationarity for reliable aerial manipulation.

CalibAnyView: Beyond Single-View Camera Calibration in the Wild

Camera calibration is a fundamental prerequisite for reliable geometric perception, yet classical approaches rely on controlled acquisition setups that are impractical for in-the-wild imagery. Recent learning-based methods have shown promising results for single-view calibration, but inherently neglect geometric consistency across multiple views. We introduce CalibAnyView, a unified formulation that supports an arbitrary number of input views ($N \geq 1$) by explicitly modeling cross-view geometric consistency. To facilitate this, we construct a large-scale multi-view video dataset covering diverse real-world scenarios, including multiple camera models, dynamic scenes, realistic motion trajectories, and heterogeneous lens distortions. Building on this dataset, we develop a multi-view transformer that predicts dense perspective fields, which are further integrated into a geometric optimization framework to jointly estimate camera intrinsics and gravity direction. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CalibAnyView consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, achieves strong robustness under single-view settings, and further improves with multi-view inference, providing a reliable foundation for downstream tasks such as 3D reconstruction and robotic perception in the wild.

Systematic Discovery of Semantic Attacks in Online Map Construction through Conditional Diffusion

Autonomous vehicles depend on online HD map construction to perceive lane boundaries, dividers, and pedestrian crossings -- safety-critical road elements that directly govern motion planning. While existing pixel perturbation attacks can disrupt the mapping, they can be neutralized by standard adversarial defenses. We present MIRAGE, a framework for systematic discovery of semantic attacks that bypass adversarial defenses and degrade mapping predictions by finding plausible environmental variation (e.g. shadows, wet roads). MIRAGE exploits the latent manifold of real-world data learned by diffusion models, and searches for semantically mutated scenes neighboring the ground truth with the same road topology yet mislead the mapping predictions. We evaluate MIRAGE on nuScenes and demonstrate two attacks: (1) boundary removal, suppressing 57.7% of detections and corrupting 96% of planned trajectories; and (2) boundary injection, the only method that successfully injects fictitious boundaries, while pixel PGD and AdvPatch fail entirely. Both attacks remain potent under various adversarial defenses. We use two independent VLM judges to quantify realism, where MIRAGE passes as realistic 80--84% of the time (vs. 97--99% for clean nuScenes), while AdvPatch only 0--9%. Our findings expose a categorical gap in current adversarial defenses: semantic-level perturbations that manifest as legitimate environmental variation are substantially harder to mitigate than pixel-level perturbations.

Analogical Trajectory Transfer

We study analogical trajectory transfer, where the goal is to translate motion trajectories in one 3D environment to a semantically analogous location in another. Such a capacity would enable machines to perform analogical spatial reasoning, with applications in AR/VR co-presence, content creation, and robotics. However, even semantically similar scenes can still differ substantially in object placement, scale, and layout, so naively matching semantics leads to collisions or geometric distortions. Furthermore, finding where each trajectory point should transfer to has a large search space, as the mapping must preserve semantics and functionality without tearing the trajectory apart or causing collisions. Our key insight is to decompose the problem into spatially segregated subproblems and merge their solutions to produce semantically consistent and spatially coherent transfers. Specifically, we partition scenes into object-centric clusters and estimate cross-scene mappings via hierarchical smooth map prediction, using 3D foundation model features that encode contextual information from object and open-space arrangements. We then combinatorially assemble the per-cluster maps into an initial transfer and refine the result to remove collisions and distortions, yielding a spatially coherent trajectory. Our method does not require training, attains a fast runtime around 0.6 seconds, and outperforms baselines based on LLMs, VLMs, and scene graph matching. We further showcase applications in virtual co-presence, multi-trajectory transfer, camera transfer, and human-to-robot motion transfer, which indicates the broad applicability of our work to AR/VR and robotics.